CF Base Abarán vs Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CEU
1 - 0
ABA
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 1
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 2
ABA
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 1
ABA
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MOL
1 - 1
JAV
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOL
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MOL
3 - 3
ALQ
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MOL
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MOL
1 - 1
PUT
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |