CF Base Abarán vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
70.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
ABA
61%
22%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABA
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
PUL
19%
24%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
PUL
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
LHO
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
MAR
18%
24%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAL
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |