CF Base Abarán vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 1
ABA
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 1
CIE
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PIN
2 - 4
ABA
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 1
ABA
49%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
JAV
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALQ
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |