CF Base Abarán vs Lumbreras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MAZ
3 - 1
ABA
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 3
JUM
30%
24%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PUL
2 - 0
ABA
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 0
CDB
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PLU
1 - 2
ABA
38%
25%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lumbreras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LUM
0 - 3
YEC
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LUM
0 - 3
PIN
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAZ
1 - 1
LUM
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LUM
0 - 3
JUM
15%
22%
63%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PUL
1 - 0
LUM
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |