CF Base Abarán vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
ABA
61%
22%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABA
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
PUL
19%
24%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
ABA
75%
16%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 2
LHO
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PUL
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
LOR
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
LHO
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
CAL
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |