CF Base Abarán vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
ABA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
YEC
7%
17%
77%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
ABA
36%
26%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 1
SAN
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MSM
2 - 0
ABA
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JUM
3 - 2
MAR
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUL
0 - 0
JUM
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
JUM
2 - 1
UCA
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 2
JUM
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JUM
4 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |