CF Base Abarán vs Javalí-Ñora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 4
ABA
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ABA
5 - 1
ALQ
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABA
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 1
MOL
55%
23%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CEU
1 - 0
ABA
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Javalí-Ñora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JAV
1 - 4
PUT
19%
24%
57%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JAV
3 - 2
OLI
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
JAV
2 - 4
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 1
JAV
68%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MOL
1 - 1
JAV
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |