CF Base Abarán vs La Hoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PUT
0 - 1
ABA
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
JAV
1 - 1
ABA
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ABA
0 - 3
OLI
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ABA
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ABA
2 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
La Hoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LAH
1 - 0
JAV
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 0
LAH
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LAH
1 - 0
ALQ
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
LAH
18%
22%
59%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LAH
1 - 0
MOL
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |