CF Base Abarán vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
ABA
84%
11%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 3
CAR
11%
21%
68%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 4
PUL
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UCA
5 - 0
ABA
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
5%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 3
LOR
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |