CF Base Abarán vs La Hoya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
ABA
57%
23%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
CAL
28%
25%
48%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
PIN
18%
22%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
CIE
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
La Hoya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LHO
2 - 0
PUL
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
LHO
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LHO
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LHO
2 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 3
LHO
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |