CF Base Abarán vs Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABA
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
43%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
ABA
84%
11%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 3
MAR
14%
22%
65%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUL
4 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
UCA
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |