CF Base Abarán vs Cuarto Distrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
ABA
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 2
CCS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CPE
0 - 0
ABA
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
YEC
5 - 0
CUA
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CUA
1 - 2
LUM
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
MAZ
4 - 1
CUA
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CUA
2 - 1
JUM
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PUL
3 - 1
CUA
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |