CF Base Abarán vs Costa Calida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CPE
0 - 0
ABA
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 2
PIN
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
YEC
0 - 1
ABA
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 0
LUM
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CCS
2 - 1
YEC
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LUM
0 - 3
CCS
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
CCS
2 - 4
MAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JUM
2 - 3
CCS
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CCS
3 - 1
PUL
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |