CF Base Abarán vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PLU
3 - 2
ABA
50%
25%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 4
JUM
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
ABA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
YEC
7%
17%
77%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
ABA
36%
26%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUL
4 - 0
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
UCA
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |