CF Base Abarán vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 1
ABA
49%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
ABA
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BUL
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABA
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
ABA
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
6 - 1
JAV
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MOL
0 - 1
FOR
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 0
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |