CF Base Abarán vs Ciudad de Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PIN
2 - 4
ABA
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 1
ABA
49%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
ABA
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BUL
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 1
JAV
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
CIE
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 3
ALQ
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 3
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
MOL
0 - 0
CIE
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |