CF Base Abarán vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
68.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
ABA
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ABA
2 - 2
FOR
24%
25%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PLU
3 - 2
ABA
50%
25%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 4
JUM
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
ABA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
3 - 4
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PUL
3 - 4
CIE
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
6 - 2
UCA
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
5 - 2
CAR
82%
13%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |