CF Base Abarán vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 1
ABA
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
CUA
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
ABA
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 2
CCS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 2
YEC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LUM
0 - 5
CIE
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
MAZ
0 - 1
CIE
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 0
JUM
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PUL
2 - 4
CIE
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |