CF Base Abarán vs Unión Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
ABA
84%
11%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 3
CAR
11%
21%
68%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 4
PUL
28%
26%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 5
MAR
20%
23%
58%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PUL
4 - 1
MSM
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
UCA
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MSM
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |