CF Base Abarán vs FC Cartagena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 4
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
PIN
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
ABA
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAR
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UCA
2 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
IMP
13%
22%
66%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |