CF Base Abarán vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 4
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
PIN
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
ABA
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
PLU
30%
26%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 3
PUL
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
IMP
19%
24%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
22%
23%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |