CF Base Abarán vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
PLU
18%
22%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 3
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PUL
1 - 1
ABA
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ABA
1 - 1
MOR
13%
21%
66%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
ABA
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
PUL
40%
23%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 4
BAL
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
LHO
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 4
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |