CF Base Abarán vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ABA
5 - 0
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BUL
3 - 1
ABA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LAH
1 - 2
ABA
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
YEC
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MOR
8 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
MAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PLU
2 - 4
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 4
CFB
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |