CF Base Abarán vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABA
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 1
MOL
55%
23%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CEU
1 - 0
ABA
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 1
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 2
ABA
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 1
JAV
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
6 - 0
ALQ
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ALQ
3 - 1
PUT
27%
25%
49%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ALQ
4 - 2
CUA
30%
25%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALQ
1 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |