CF Base Abarán vs Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
BUL
3 - 1
ABA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LAH
1 - 2
ABA
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
PUT
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ABA
4 - 3
JAV
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
JAV
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
ALB
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 0
ALQ
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALB
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALB
4 - 2
MOL
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |