CF Base Abarán vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
PIN
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
ABA
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
PLU
30%
26%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 1
ABA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
PUL
1 - 2
AGU
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 0
UCA
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IMP
3 - 0
AGU
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |