Ayelo vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 0
AYE
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AYE
4 - 1
COC
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
AYE
1 - 1
PEN
22%
22%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COC
0 - 1
AYE
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AYE
3 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
50%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 1
BOC
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
PEN
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 3
ALB
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AYE
3 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 8
PEN
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |