Seq. Castello A vs Orpesa B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
ATL
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 2
RAC
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 3
ATL
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Orpesa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ORP
0 - 3
SEM
20%
21%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RON
2 - 3
ORP
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ORP
2 - 2
COS
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |