Seq. Castello A vs Semprerapid A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
13 - 0
COS
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
SLA
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 5
EST
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 3
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Semprerapid A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
SEM
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COS
2 - 12
SEM
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SEM
1 - 3
RAF
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SLA
4 - 1
SEM
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SEM
3 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |