Seq. Castello A vs G. Castellon A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SEM
1 - 1
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
RON
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 4
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
RAF
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SLA
1 - 1
ATL
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
G. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 0
ORP
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SEM
2 - 1
GRA
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
DRA
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RON
4 - 1
GRA
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
7 - 0
RAC
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |