Seq. Castello A vs Benicasim B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
6 - 0
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROD
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SEM
1 - 1
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
RON
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benicasim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SEM
3 - 1
BEN
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 2
RON
25%
22%
53%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
COS
3 - 3
BEN
47%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 8
RAF
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SLA
5 - 1
BEN
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |