Seq. Castello A vs Ronda Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 4
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
RAF
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SLA
1 - 1
ATL
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
ATL
62%
20%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ronda Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RON
0 - 2
SEM
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RON
4 - 1
GRA
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 7
RON
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RON
0 - 5
RAF
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SLA
4 - 1
RON
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |