CF Andorinha vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Andorinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
AND
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AND
4 - 2
CAN
11%
18%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +5 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PON
4 - 0
AND
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AND
0 - 2
POR
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AND
1 - 2
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
1MA
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |