CF Andorinha vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Andorinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
AND
51%
23%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 3
CAM
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
6 - 0
AND
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AND
1 - 4
PON
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
AND
46%
24%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
1MA
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |