Alalpardo B vs Bustarviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alalpardo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 1
ALA
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 6
CFR
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
EPA
4 - 3
ALA
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 1
CDC
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
JRR
2 - 4
ALA
68%
16%
17%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bustarviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BUS
1 - 3
JSB
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GSI
1 - 1
BUS
27%
21%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ATA
5 - 3
BUS
49%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BUS
1 - 0
FTC
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 2
BUS
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |