Independiente Ceutí vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
79.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MSM
3 - 2
CEU
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MUL
3 - 0
CEU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 3
ABA
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHU
2 - 0
CEU
77%
15%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 3
CLU
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
RAA
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CLU
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
YEC
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 7
CAD
5%
15%
81%
|
24 | 79 | 55 | 0 |