Independiente Ceutí vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEU
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ABA
3 - 1
CEU
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 0
JUV
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 1
MME
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
RAA
5 - 0
CEU
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
ABA
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
MME
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CLU
1 - 3
BAL
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
MSM
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
EFA
0 - 0
BAL
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |