Ceutí At. vs Cuarto Distrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceutí At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 0
CEU
31%
25%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CEU
2 - 1
PIN
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 3
CEU
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
CEU
1 - 1
ALQ
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CEU
0 - 1
ARC
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
CUA
2 - 2
LAH
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
CUA
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CUA
2 - 1
MAR
19%
23%
59%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CUA
0 - 2
PUT
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |