Ceuta Base vs Carmelitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceuta Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CSC
4 - 0
CEU
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CEU
2 - 2
CAC
4%
9%
87%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
1 - 1
CEU
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEU
0 - 3
CBR
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEU
83%
11%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
MUR
12%
16%
72%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CSC
4 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CDB
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
11%
16%
72%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 4
CAR
36%
21%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |