Ceuta Base vs Natación Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceuta Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HID
3 - 3
CEU
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CBR
3 - 0
CEU
88%
8%
3%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CEU
0 - 3
MUR
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CEU
0 - 3
CAC
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SUP
3 - 0
CEU
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Natación Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NCE
1 - 5
CBR
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NCE
0 - 3
CAC
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 2
NCE
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NCE
0 - 2
HID
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 4
NCE
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |