OC Cesson vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
14º
7º
32
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
CES
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CES
1 - 1
USF
42%
22%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
CES
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CES
3 - 0
ERG
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 0
CES
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
AFV
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
FLE
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 2
USF
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 2
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |