OC Cesson vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
14º
7º
49
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
CES
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CES
5 - 0
UST
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CES
3 - 1
LAN
41%
23%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
CES
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CES
3 - 1
SPM
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAN
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
USF
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |