CeBra 01 vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
9º
8º
11
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CeBra 01
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
CBG
20%
21%
58%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 3
CBG
22%
23%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CBG
3 - 2
TBB
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
CBG
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 6
CBG
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UME
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
UKT
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
URE
2 - 2
UME
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UME
1 - 5
RES
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 6
UME
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |