Real Cesenatico vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cesenatico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
REC
0 - 2
RCS
67%
21%
12%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
RCS
1 - 5
REA
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
RCS
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
RCS
1 - 2
LUC
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 0
RCS
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
LUC
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
SSS
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 0
USV
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
CIV
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |