Cesena U19 vs Varese U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
UDI
2 - 1
CES
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
CES
72%
18%
11%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CES
2 - 2
ABL
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CES
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CES
2 - 1
PAD
44%
25%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
INT
3 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
ATA
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ABL
3 - 0
VAR
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 3
MIL
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 2
VAR
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |