Cesena U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 2
CES
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CES
1 - 3
CIT
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 2
CES
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
VER
23%
25%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LAT
0 - 3
CES
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 0
EMP
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 1
NOV
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
TER
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOV
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 3
CRO
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |