Cesena U19 vs Monopoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
1º
21
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
PIS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 3
CES
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 2
CES
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MNP
0 - 1
PAL
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPE
3 - 0
MNP
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MNP
1 - 3
PER
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 3
MNP
53%
21%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MNP
3 - 2
PES
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |