Cesena U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 1
CES
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 2
CES
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
2 - 3
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
CES
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPE
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
6 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 3
TOR
13%
23%
65%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |