Cesena U19 vs Milan U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 0
CES
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ATA
1 - 0
CES
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CES
2 - 0
VIC
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
INT
4 - 2
CES
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
ATA
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 6
MIL
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 0
MIL
22%
23%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |