Cesena U18 vs Sampdoria U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
9º
9º
26
9º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ASR
3 - 2
CES
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
EMP
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CES
6 - 2
NAP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 4
CES
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sampdoria U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 5
ASR
14%
17%
68%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EMP
0 - 0
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
LEC
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 3
BOL
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |